Critics Choice & Golden Globes Predictions

As I have tickets tonight for The Little Mermaid, I will be absent from awards night.  I’m planning to have a small Oscar party at Frolik in the Motif Hotel, and I’m hopeful to see a more diverse, adventurous Oscars night than the past few years.  It’s been a fantastic year, and I’m hoping for original, inventive cinema to gain attention.  My predictions for the Critics Choice Awards winners (predicted highlighted in gold from the nominees) and Golden Globe nominations follow.  Note, an asterisk (*) notes category fraud:

Critics Choice Awards: Winner Predictions

  • BEST PICTURE
  • Arrival
  • Fences
  • Hacksaw Ridge
  • Hell or High Water
  • La La Land
  • Lion
  • Loving
  • Manchester by the Sea
  • Moonlight
  • Sully
  • Results: Correct (1/1)
  • BEST ACTOR
  • Casey Affleck – Manchester by the Sea
  • Joel Edgerton – Loving
  • Andrew Garfield – Hacksaw Ridge
  • Ryan Gosling – La La Land
  • Tom Hanks – Sully
  • Denzel Washington – Fences
  •  
  • Results: Correct (2/2)
  • BEST ACTRESS
  • Amy Adams – Arrival
  • Annette Bening – 20th Century Women
  • Isabelle Huppert – Elle
  • Ruth Negga – Loving
  • Natalie Portman – Jackie
  • Emma Stone – La La Land
  • Results: Correct (3/3)
  • BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
  • Mahershala Ali – Moonlight
  • Jeff Bridges – Hell or High Water
  • Ben Foster – Hell or High Water
  • Lucas Hedges – Manchester by the Sea
  • Dev Patel – Lion
  • Michael Shannon – Nocturnal Animals
  • Results: Correct (4/4)
  • BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
  • Viola Davis – Fences*
  • Greta Gerwig – 20th Century Women
  • Naomie Harris – Moonlight
  • Nicole Kidman – Lion
  • Janelle Monáe  – Hidden Figures
  • Michelle Williams – Manchester by the Sea
  • Results: Wrong (4/5)
  • BEST YOUNG ACTOR/ACTRESS
  • Lucas Hedges – Manchester by the Sea
  • Alex R. Hibbert – Moonlight
  • Lewis MacDougall – A Monster Calls
  • Madina Nalwanga – Queen of Katwe
  • Sunny Pawar – Lion
  • Hailee Steinfeld – The Edge of Seventeen
  • Results: Correct (5/6)
  • BEST ACTING ENSEMBLE
  • 20th Century Women
  • Fences
  • Hell or High Water
  • Hidden Figures
  • Manchester by the Sea
  • Moonlight
  • Results: Wrong (5/7)
  • BEST DIRECTOR
  • Damien Chazelle – La La Land
  • Mel Gibson – Hacksaw Ridge
  • Barry Jenkins – Moonlight
  • Kenneth Lonergan – Manchester by the Sea
  • David Mackenzie – Hell or High Water
  • Denis Villeneuve – Arrival
  • Denzel Washington – Fences
  • Results: Wrong (5/8)
  • BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
  • Damien Chazelle – La La Land
  • Barry Jenkins – Moonlight
  • Yorgos Lanthimos/Efthimis Filippou – The Lobster
  • Kenneth Lonergan – Manchester by the Sea
  • Jeff Nichols – Loving
  • Taylor Sheridan – Hell or High Water
  • Results: Correct (tied with La La Land) (6/9)

  • BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
  • Luke Davies – Lion
  • Tom Ford – Nocturnal Animals
  • Eric Heisserer – Arrival
  • Todd Komarnicki – Sully
  • Allison Schroeder/Theodore Melfi – Hidden Figures
  • August Wilson – Fences
  • Results: Correct (7/10)
  • BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
  • Stéphane Fontaine – Jackie
  • James Laxton – Moonlight
  • Seamus McGarvey – Nocturnal Animals
  • Linus Sandgren – La La Land
  • Bradford Young – Arrival
  • Results: Correct (8/11)
  • BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
  • Arrival – Patrice Vermette, Paul Hotte
  • Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them – Stuart Craig/James Hambidge, Anna Pinnock
  • Jackie – Jean Rabasse, Véronique Melery
  • La La Land – David Wasco, Sandy Reynolds-Wasco
  • Live by Night – Jess Gonchor, Nancy Haigh
  • Results: Wrong (8/12)
  • BEST EDITING
  • Tom Cross – La La Land
  • John Gilbert – Hacksaw Ridge
  • Blu Murray – Sully
  • Nat Sanders/Joi McMillon – Moonlight
  • Joe Walker – Arrival
  • Results: Correct (9/13)
  • BEST COSTUME DESIGN
  • Colleen Atwood – Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
  • Consolata Boyle – Florence Foster Jenkins
  • Madeline Fontaine – Jackie
  • Joanna Johnston – Allied
  • Eimer Ni Mhaoldomhnaigh – Love & Friendship
  • Mary Zophres – La La Land
  • Results: Wrong (9/14)
  • BEST HAIR & MAKEUP
  • Doctor Strange
  • Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
  • Hacksaw Ridge
  • Jackie
  • Star Trek Beyond
  • Results: Wrong (9/15)
  • BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
  • A Monster Calls
  • Arrival
  • Doctor Strange
  • Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
  • The Jungle Book
  • Results: Correct (10/16)
  • BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
  • Finding Dory
  • Kubo and the Two Strings
  • Moana
  • The Red Turtle
  • Trolls
  • Zootopia
  • Results: Correct (11/17)
  • BEST ACTION MOVIE
  • Captain America: Civil War
  • Deadpool
  • Doctor Strange
  • Hacksaw Ridge
  • Jason Bourne
  • Results: Wrong (11/18)
  • BEST ACTOR IN AN ACTION MOVIE
  • Benedict Cumberbatch – Doctor Strange
  • Matt Damon – Jason Bourne
  • Chris Evans – Captain America: Civil War
  • Andrew Garfield – Hacksaw Ridge
  • Ryan Reynolds – Deadpool
  • Results: Wrong (11/19)
  • BEST ACTRESS IN AN ACTION MOVIE
  • Gal Gadot – Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice
  • Scarlett Johansson – Captain America: Civil War
  • Margot Robbie – Suicide Squad
  • Tilda Swinton – Doctor Strange
  • Results: Wrong (11/20)
  • BEST COMEDY
  • Central Intelligence
  • Deadpool
  • Don’t Think Twice
  • The Edge of Seventeen
  • Hail, Caesar!
  • The Nice Guys
  • Results: Wrong (11/21)
  • BEST ACTOR IN A COMEDY
  • Ryan Gosling – The Nice Guys
  • Hugh Grant – Florence Foster Jenkins
  • Dwayne Johnson – Central Intelligence
  • Viggo Mortensen – Captain Fantastic*
  • Ryan Reynolds – Deadpool
  • Results: Wrong (11/22)
  • BEST ACTRESS IN A COMEDY
  • Kate Beckinsale – Love & Friendship
  • Sally Field – Hello, My Name Is Doris
  • Kate McKinnon – Ghostbusters
  • Hailee Steinfeld – The Edge of Seventeen
  • Meryl Streep – Florence Foster Jenkins
  • Results: Wrong (11/23)
  • BEST SCI-FI/HORROR MOVIE
  • 10 Cloverfield Lane
  • Arrival
  • Doctor Strange
  • Don’t Breathe
  • Star Trek Beyond
  • The Witch
  • Results: Correct (12/24)
  • BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
  • Elle
  • The Handmaiden
  • Julieta
  • Neruda
  • The Salesman
  • Toni Erdmann
  • Results: Correct (13/25)
  • BEST SONG
  • Audition (The Fools Who Dream) – La La Land
  • Can’t Stop the Feeling – Trolls
  • City of Stars – La La Land
  • Drive It Like You Stole It – Sing Street
  • How Far I’ll Go – Moana
  • The Rules Don’t Apply – Rules Don’t Apply
  • Results: Correct (14/26)
  • BEST SCORE
  • Nicholas Britell – Moonlight
  • Jóhann Jóhannsson – Arrival
  • Justin Hurwitz – La La Land
  • Micachu – Jackie
  • Dustin O’Halloran, Hauschka – Lion
  • Results: Correct (15/27)

Golden Globes: Nomination Predictions

  • Comedy or Musical
  • BEST PICTURE
  • La La Land
  • 20th Century Women
  • The Edge of Seventeen
  • Florence Foster Jenkins
  • Hail, Caesar!
  • Results: Correct (3/5)
  • Missed Deadpool and Sing Street for Hail, Caesar! and Edge of Seventeen
  • BEST ACTOR
  • Ryan Gosling, La La Land
  • Ryan Reynolds, Deadpool
  • Viggo Mortenson, Captain Fantastic*
  • Hugh Grant, Florence Foster Jenkins
  • Colin Farrell, The Lobster
  • Results: Correct (4/5)
  • Missed Hill for Mortenson, who wound up properly in drama
  • BEST ACTRESS
  • Emma Stone, La La Land
  • Annette Bening, 20th Century Women
  • Hailee Steinfeld, The Edge of Seventeen
  • Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins
  • Kate Beckinsale, Love & Friendship
  • Results: Correct (4/5)
  • Missed Collins for Beckinsale
  • Drama
  • BEST PICTURE
  • Arrival
  • Hell or High Water
  • Lion
  • Manchester by the Sea
  • Moonlight
  • Results: (4/5)
  • Missed Arrival for Hacksaw Ridge
  • BEST ACTOR
  • Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea
  • Joel Edgerton, Loving
  • Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge
  • Tom Hanks, Sully
  • Denzel Washington, Fences
  • Results: Correct (4/5)
  • Missed Hanks for Mortenson, who I thought was to be category frauded
  • BEST ACTRESS
  • Viola Davis, Fences
  • Amy Adams, Arrival
  • Isabelle Huppert, Elle
  • Ruth Negga, Loving
  • Natalie Portman, Jackie
  • Results: Correct (4/5)
  • Missed Chastain for Davis, who wound up supporting
  • Remainder
  • BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
  • Lucas Hedges, Manchester by the Sea
  • Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water
  • Michael Shannon, Nocturnal Animals
  • Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
  • Dev Patel, Lion
  • Results: Correct (3/5)
  • Missed Taylor-Johnson and Helburg for Shannon and Hedges.  Expected the other Nocturnal Animal
  • BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
  • Helen Mirren, Eye in the Sky
  • Naomie Harris, Moonlight
  • Nicole Kidman, Lion
  • Janelle Monae, Hidden Figures
  • Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea
  • Results: Correct (3/5)
  • Missed Spencer and Davis for Monae (wrong Figure) and Mirren (Davis swooped in fraud)
  • BEST DIRECTOR
  • Arrival
  • Fences
  • Hacksaw Ridge
  • La La Land
  • Moonlight
  • Results: Correct (3/5)
  • Missed Lonergan and Ford for Washington and Villenueve
  • BEST SCREENPLAY
  • Arrival
  • Fences
  • Moonlight
  • Lion
  • 20th Century Women
  • Results: Correct (1/5)
  • Missed Manchester (stupid omission), Hell or High Water, Nocturnal Animals, La La Land for Lion, Fences, Arrival, 20th Century Women
  • BEST SCORE
  • Arrival
  • Moana
  • La La Land
  • Lion
  • Moonlight
  • Results: Correct (4/5)
  • Missed Hidden Figures for Moana
  • BEST ORIGINAL SONG
  • La La Land (Audition)
  • La La Land (City of Stars)
  • Trolls (Can’t Stop the Feeling)
  • Moana (How Far I’ll Go)
  • Lion (Never Give Up)
  • Results: Correct (2/5)
  • Missed Sing, Gold for Lion, La La Land (Audition)
  • BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE
  • The Handmaiden
  • Elle
  • Toni Erdmann
  • The Salesman
  • Land of Mine
  • Results: Correct (3/5)
  • Missed Divines, Neruda for Land of Mine, The Handmaiden
  • BEST ANIMATED
  • Zootopia
  • The Red Turtle
  • Moana
  • Finding Dory
  • The Secret Life of Pets
  • Results: Correct (2/5)
  • Missed Life as Zucchini, Kubo (stupid omission), Sing for Pets, Dory, Red Turtle

ckryaninko

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