Oscar Nominations, or How I Woke Up at 5:30 AM Just to be Flustered

Now that the shocking lack of Carol in Picture and Director has settled, and I have regained my normal faith in humanity (which is zero, up from the negatives), I can assess how I did in my predictions, which is not well.  I got 70/103, also accounting for losing points for incorrect guess at BP nominees (-3).  I got three categories correct (Best Actress, Visual Effects, and Cinematography), and my worst category (2/5) in Production Design. Breakdown follows:

OSCAR NOMINATION

Results

2015 Edition

Spotlight-Movie

Best Picture

  • The Big Short
  • Bridge of Spies
  • Brooklyn
  • Carol
  • Mad Max: Fury Road
  • The Martian
  • The Revenant
  • Spotlight
  • Room
  • Steve Jobs
  • Straight Outta Compton

This is the one I’m hardly concerned with: 5 to 10 nominees, #1 placement requirement (which baffles me as how Room got in and Carol did not), and the just terrible tastes of collective populations.  Very sad about Carol, but I tweeted enough about that yesterday.  I’m just rooting for Spotlight, but would also be very please about Mad Max win.

           

Best Director

  • Todd Haynes – Carol
  • Lenny Abrahamson – Room
  • Alejandro Gonzalez Inaritu –
    • The Revenant
  • Adam McKay – The Big Short
  • Tom McCarthy – Spotlight
  • George Miller –
    • Mad Max: Fury Road
  • Ridley Scott – The Martian

Abrahamson gets in with a very Foxcatcher style sneakery.  I’ll appreciate it for the performance he got out of Tremblay, but otherwise, I just didn’t feel this movie.  McKay hasn’t featured in my mind as a contender here, but DGA and Oscar had different plans.  It just seems so bizarre; no shade, but this guy works with Will Ferrell too many times to be an Oscar nominated director in my memory.  Missing Todd Haynes and really expected to see Ridley Scott.

SteveJobsYouTube

Best Actor

  • Bryan Cranston – Trumbo
  • Matt Damon – The Martian
  • Johnny Depp – Black Mass
  • Leonardo DiCaprio – The Revenant
  • Michael Fassbender – Steve Jobs
  • Eddie Redmayne – The Danish Girl

I expected Depp over Cranston.  Breaking Bad led him to Oscar.  I haven’t seen The Revenant yet, but Inaritu is one of my favorite directors, possibly my favorite.  I just want Leo to win his Oscar, but Fassbender is my obsession and did my favorite work this year in Steve Jobs.

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Best Actress

  • Cate Blanchett – Carol
  • Brie Larson – Room
  • Jennifer Lawrence – Joy
  • Charlotte Rampling – 45 Years
  • Saoirse Ronan – Brooklyn

Perfect score.  I knew JLaw would get in, you damn likeable actress!  Larson is likely to win.  Rampling would be a fantastic surprise that won’t happen.  Ronan would be a surprise but very welcome.  Cate, you already had your game.

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Best Supporting Actor

  • Christian Bale – The Big Short
  • Idris Elba – Beasts of No Nation
  • Thomas Hardy – The Revenant
  • Mark Ruffalo – Spotlight
  • Mark Rylance – Bridge of Spies
  • Sylvester Stallone – Creed

This is where I expected the #OscarsSoWhite hashtag to be slightly tamed with Idris Elba.  However, they went with Ruffalo, doubly bad because it should’ve been Keaton, if anyone, from Spotlight.  Rylance might win; Stallone might win.  Good job Hardy with a year well acted.

clouds1

Best Supporting Actress

  • Jennifer Jason Leigh –
    • The Hateful Eight
  • Rooney Mara – Carol
  • Rachel McAdams – Spotlight
  • Kristen Stewart
    • Clouds of Sils Maria
  • Alicia Vikander – The Danish Girl
  • Kate Winslet – Steve Jobs

Oh, supporting actress, you stupid fricking category.  Vikander had a stellar year, and should’ve just run for Best Actress with Danish and Supporting with Ex Machina, which was clearly a contender.  Kristen Stewart wowed, but this foreign release was overshadowed by over a years worth of vary sparse publicity.  Despite the category fraud, I want Mara to win for her year’s best performance in Carol.

Best Foreign Film

  • Son of Saul
  • Embrace of the Serpent
  • The Brand New Testament
  • Theeb
  • Labyrinth of Lies
  • Mustang
  • A War

Did expect to do great here, as I have seen none of these movies.  Son of Saul is favorited to win, and I look forward to seeing it when it shows up in Seattle in a few weeks.

Pictured (L-R): Sadness, Joy. ©2015 Disney•Pixar. All Rights Reserved.

Best Original Screenplay

  • Spotlight
  • Inside Out
  • Bridge of Spies
  • The Hateful Eight
  • Ex Machina
  • Straight Outta Compton

I was quite pleased to see Straight Outta Compton showing up rather than Tarantino’s very avoidable jaunt.  Strong contenders in this crowd, but gotta root for Spotlight.

Best Adapted Screenplay

  • Brooklyn
  • Steve Jobs
  • Room
  • The Martian
  • The Big Short
  • Carol

As much as I enjoyed Steve Jobs and would have preferred seeing it here over most, I’m glad Nick Hornby’s giant improvement on Brooklyn got in.  He’s proving a more favored screenwriter than an author for me.

far-from-the-madding-crowd-carey-mulligan-tom-sturridge-forest-sword-bathsheba-everdene-frank-troy-sergeant-thomas-vinterberg-2015

Best Costume Design

  • The Danish Girl
  • Brooklyn
  • Cinderella
  • Carol
  • Mad Max Fury Road
  • Far from the Madding Crowd
  • The Revenant

I did not expect Mad Max or The Revenant here, nor did a lot of people, particularly on the latter.  Brooklyn was robbed, the colors were perfect.  I’m guessing Sandy Powell is going to get another Oscar.

sicario1

Best Cinematography

  • The Revenant
  • Sicario
  • Carol
  • Mad Max: Fury Road
  • The Hateful Eight

Perfect score for my favorite category.  Please let Carol win, but if not, let Roger Deakins finally land his win.

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Best Production Design

  • Bridge of Spies
  • The Danish Girl
  • Carol
  • Mad Max Fury Road
  • The Martian
  • Cinderella
  • The Revenant
  • Star Wars: The Force Awakens

My worst category.  Carol and Star Wars had some of my favorite designs, but I guess the guilds didn’t agree.  Looking at a Mad Max or Danish Girl win here.

madmax3

Best Film Editing

  • The Big Short
  • The Revenant
  • Spotlight
  • Mad Max: Fury Road
  • The Martian
  • Star Wars: The Force Awakens

So glad to see Star Wars here over The Martian.  Spotlight or Mad Max please.

new-star-wars-the-force-awakens-promotional-images-_-rey-and-bb8-on-the-planet-takodana

Best Visual Effects

  • The Martian
  • The Revenant
  • Star Wars: The Force Awakens
  • Mad Max: Fury Road
  • Ex Machina

Perfect score.  I did greatly appreciate the understated effects of Ex Machina.

holmes1

Best Makeup and Hair

  • Mr. Holmes
  • 100 Year Old Man…
  • Mad Max: Fury Road
  • The Revenant

With the love for The Revenant, I’m not surprised the goring snuck in here.  I do miss Mr. Holmes due to the amount of concern the realistic aging makeup made for the health of Sir Ian.  But one old age makeup nomination was enough, and 100 Year Old Man… is another surprise a la Il Divo.

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Best Original Score

  • Bridge of Spies
  • The Hateful Eight
  • The Danish Girl
  • Star Wars: The Force Awakens
  • Carol
  • Sicario
  • Spotlight

Spotlight and The Danish Girl seemed safe guesses, but I’m glad with the replacements.  Bridge of Spies could be Thomas Newman’s win finally, and Sicario was driven by the haunting score.  Carol is still my favorite, but I would be happy with any of these.  I forsee Ennio, though.

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Best Original Song

  • Simple Song #3 – Youth
  • Manta Ray – Racing Extinction
  • See You Again – Furious 7
  • Until It Happens to You –
    • The Hunting Ground
  • Earned It – Fifty Shades of Grey
  • Flashlight – Pitch Perfect 2
  • Writing’s on the Wall – Spectre

“Manta Ray” is a great song with the “Where did that song sneak in?” nomination, and I’m pleased to see an openly trans nominee.  I’m hoping for Youth, but I’m really unsure which way this might go.

Straight_Outta_Compton_review

Best Sound Mixing

  • Bridge of Spies
  • Straight Outta Compton
  • The Revenant
  • Star Wars: The Force Awakens
  • Mad Max: Fury Road
  • The Martian
  • Ex Machina

I am not at all pleased at getting these wrong, and it’s not just because of my inflated ego.  Straight Outta Compton had such important link to the sound, particularly with the perfectly staged live performances.  Also, Ex Machina‘s sound blended so well, I was overtaken with the strengths from the get-go, unlike much of the film that later grew on me.

exmachina

Best Sound Editing

  • The Martian
  • Mad Max Fury Road
  • The Revenant
  • Star Wars: The Force Awakens
  • Sicario
  • The Hateful Eight
  • Ex Machina

I am good with the replacements here, as the sound editing in both of these were great.  I’m very surprised I didn’t put Mad Max.  My oversight

Anomalisa1

Best Animated Film

  • Anomalisa
  • Boy and the World
  • The Good Dinosaur
  • Inside Out
  • The Peanuts Movie
  • Shaun the Sheep
  • When Marnie Was There

Pleased I correctly guessed Marnie, and I’m glad Inside Out is the only traditionally popular choice, and the strongest of the group.  I can’t foresee anything overtaking it.

ckryaninko

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